It seems like the NOAA is rolling out a new high resolution forecasting tool that will provide more information on hurricane formations and tracks. That's good, I guess,. We're still in the midst of the hrricane season, and historically it ramps up in August and September.
They are calling it HFAS, or the "Hurricane Analysis and Forecasting System".
The NHC said its new “Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System,” or HAFS for short, went operational on June 27 alongside older models for the 2023 hurricane season. The system is the first new major forecast model to use NOAA’s updated weather and climate supercomputers.
I hope it helps them help us. Hurricanes ain't no fun. It's good to know what is happening, just before the lights go out and the fence blows over.
I hope it's more accurate than how the weather services overreact to their Doppler radar. Every lightning bolt and micro-cell can be seen, and the weather weinies always overreact. We had an Imminent Tornado Warning the other day at 4:10am, during a rain storm. There wasn't a puff of air moving then, or for the next 5 hours.
ReplyDeleteSo my hope is they've found the balance, the sweet spot. But "an abundance of caution" and "better safe than sorry", so expect a bunch of panicked false alarms. Meanwhile, keep the shelter stocked and strong, Have A Plan. Be safe.